Newspaper tries to make the case the “nuclear renaissance” of the future has collided with its past – it is wrong.
In a wrenching review of problems accumulating at Olliluoto, Finland, and Flamanville, France, the New York Times reports that the so-called “nuclear renaissance,” a vision of the future of nuclear energy as an answer to the challenge of global warming, has suffered from a head-on collision with the industry’s past.
In a three way pile up – cost over runs, technical issues, and regulatory mazes – the newspaper says these events are red flags for the Obama administration which has been notably quiet on how it feels about nuclear energy. However, this is the point where the newspaper gets its signals crossed and winds up with a collision of its own between news and opinion.
Plus, where's the hard news peg? The story of the delays at these two project, and what the company has been doing to correct them, has been around since 2007. See the four links to prior coverage on this blog below.
The most significant issues is that the NYT article takes two data points and applies assumptions drawn from them to the global nuclear industry. This would be roughly the same as taking the total consumption of orange juice in Brooklyn and applying it to a projection of what's on everyone's breakfast table for the U.S, England, and France.
I can see the headline now - Obama warned not to send economic stimulous money to Florida due to sharp drop in sales of concentrated juice in Brooklyn grocery stores.
There are problems with Areva’s projects
The NYT article is a litany of serious problems taking place at two enormous reactor projects both being built by Areva, the French state-owned nuclear giant. Both plants are 1,600 MW EPRs which are state-of-the art designs. The key problems are subcontractors which the Finnish regulatory authorities say poured bad concrete and ignored quality assurance procedures and standards for welding and related steel work. The article reports similar problems at Flammanville again with the concrete and steel foundations of the reactor.
This sounds suspiciously like the lowest bidder phenomenon. It has two parts well known to construction project managers. The first is if you want it bad, you’ll get it bad, and the second is, there is never time to do it right, but always time to do it over. The cost increases to double the original estimate and at least three years of delays in an estimated completion time are ample evidence that both factors are present at both sites.
For Areva’s part, the company has repeatedly pointed to delays in Finland by an understaffed and overwhelmed regulatory agency. However, as similar problems with pouring concrete and fabricating the steel have turned up on France, it is clear that control of subcontractors, getting them to work to nuclear industry standards, is at the heart of the problem.
The company says on its U.S. blog that it knows it has problems, expected some of them, and is applying lessons learned in Finland to Flamanville and to its planned U.S. projects.
We recognize that as with any first-of-a-kind project, there is bound to be a learning curve. We have learned much from the EPR reactor under construction in Finland and will apply this experience to future projects around the world. At our second EPR project in France, we’ve already implemented many of the improvements we’ve learned from the Finland project.
Areva isn’t the entire nuclear industry
What’s wrong with the NYT article is that it uses issues that are clearly within Areva’ control to fix as deal breakers for the nuclear industry as a whole. This is where the newspaper’s article derails itself and attempts to spike the nuclear renaissance like a bad story of cops and robbers from the police blotter.
The newspaper then takes on what can only be called a “kitchen sink” approach tossing every anti-nuclear argument it can muster into the pile.
It adds in specious claims about airliner impacts on containment building. Note to NYT editors – in such cases the airline loses, the concrete containment structure gets some scratches and scorch marks, but the reactor itself is untouched by the impact. Also, the NRC hasn’t bought the airliner issue.
The newspaper also turns to Caren Byrd, a wall street banker, who lately has wailed that the “warning lights are now flashing more brightly” for potential investors in the nuclear industry. Well, there is a reason for that – the wall street bankers, like Ms. Byrd’s employer, tanked the entire western economy, ours and Europe’s, with a Las Vegas gambling mentality. I don’t see how the newspaper can turn to them for authoritative comments on other industries when they’ve done so badly with their own.
As the the issue of the Missouri legislature rejecting Ameren’s request to overturn a 1976 anti-nuclear law, that clearly was a mix of ineptitude by both the utility and the legislature. Ameren came in the a proposal which undercut ratepayer rights. It gave opponents all the opening they needed to kill the measure despite compromises later in the session by the utility. A surprise in the mix was the opposition of one of Ameren’s biggest customers, an aluminum plant, which actually needs the electricity from a second reactor in order to grow.
In short, just about everyone involved in the “show me” state shot themselves in the foot. Ameren and the legislature have two more tries before the NRC issues a license to the utility sometime in late 2011. Maybe hanging together rather than separately would be a good way to go during next year’s legislative session.
So what we have with the NY Times is two articles. The first is a reasonably accurate account of old news about Areva’s problems which the utility has stated it is working to correct. The other half of the article is a collection of unrelated anecdotes which use Areva’s problems as a spring board for an anti-nuclear tirade against the entire industry that belongs on the op ed pages and not in the news section.
Prior coverage on this blog
News of problems with Areva's EPR projects in Finland and France, and what the firm is doing to correct them, are not news. Why the NY Times pursues the story now remains a puzzle since the original, cited above, has no hard news peg.
- August 28, 2008 -Areva's double trouble with EPRs
- August 8, 2008 - New trouble at Olkiluoto
- December 27, 2007 - Areva's EPR for Finland will be late
- December 4, 2007 Areva's Flamanville project is underway
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Idaho Samizdat is a blog about the political and economic aspects of nuclear energy and nonproliferation issues. It covers the nuclear energy industry globally. Additionally, the blog has regional coverage on uranium mining in the western U.S. Link to original post




















MarkGoldes said:
PERPETUAL COMMOTION
"In the realm of ideas everything depends on enthusiasm... in the real world all rests on perseverance." Goethe
Jose Concepcion, who used the pseudonym Mylow, posted videos on the internet of what he falsely claimed was a self-starting and self-running variation of a motor having some similarity to one invented by the late Howard Johnson. The result was a flurry of interest in devices that may be made to self-run, without any obvious outside source of input energy. Following a lengthy struggle with the U.S. Patent & Trademark Office, Johnson was granted U.S. Patent #4,151,431, after he demonstrated a linear device to a Patent Appeals Board. Although a rotary motor was included in the Patent, a former colleague of Johnson’s stated he never succeeded in producing a self-running prototype of the motor.
While skeptics abound (and as the paragraph above illustrates, without independent laboratory confirmation, have excellent reason to be skeptical) devices of this nature may open a door to wider discussion and appreciation of an extremely important potential for rapidly reducing our dependency on fossil fuels and reviving the automotive industry.
Motors, or solid-state power generators without moving parts that continuously self-run, will not be, as is widely believed, perpetual motion machines. To the surprise of almost everybody, they will ultimately prove to be converting some previously unutilized form of energy.
One possible candidate is Zero Point Energy, ZPE. However, most scientists familiar with the Zero Point Field, believe that conversion of ZPE is unlikely to prove practical. As revolutionary energy technologies move toward the marketplace, a discussion as to the source of the energy is inevitable. It may go on for a very long time. If practical, safe, cost-effective, power can be produced by such inventions, definitive answers to that question are a less urgent matter. A book that challenges conventional belief: Zero Point Energy - The Fuel of the Future, by Thomas Valone, provides extensive scientific input and can readily be understood by the lay reader.
Physical Review and other refereed journals have published numerous articles suggesting ZPE might be utilized for power and propulsion. In the March 1st, 2004 issue, the magazine Aviation Week and Space Technology, summarized programs underway in the UK and the USA, in search of ZPE aerospace propulsion systems.
Several U.S. Patents have been issued to Dr. Fabrizio Pinto, a physicist, formerly with NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (administered by the California Institute of Technology). Dr. Pinto is now CEO of his own firm and is developing breakthrough technology based on ZPE conversion of the Casimir Force. There are medical, computer and energy applications referenced in his Patents.
A U.S. Patent entitled: QUANTUM VACUUM ENERGY EXTRACTION was issued to Bernard Haisch and Garret Moddel, May 27, 2008. The Abstract begins: A system is disclosed for converting energy from the electromagnetic quantum vacuum available at any point in the universe to usable energy in the form of heat, electricity, mechanical energy or other forms of power. It ends with this sentence: The disclosed devices are scalable in size and energy output for applications ranging from replacements for small batteries to power plant sized generators of electricity. This Patent is the basis of research under way by Jovion Corporation, with a grant from the University of Colorado to Professor Moddel.
Noberto R. Keppe, in his book: The New Physics – states that de Broglie, Bohm and Vigler all thought that at absolute zero (0 Kelvin = -459.67 degrees F) each cubic centimeter anywhere in the universe contains 1027 Joules of energy. This is the equivalent of the energy contained in 10 million tons of coal!
Two remarkable inventions were developed in Germany by Hans Coler. Several scientists witnessed demonstrations. They all reported the devices apparently worked and that they could detect no fraud. Coler demonstrated a 10 watt generator in 1925. Two years later, Nobelist Werner Heisenberg stated: “I believe it is possible to utilize magnetism as an energy source. During 1933, Coler produced a 70 watt device. In 1937, he built a 6,000 watt generator he called a "Stromerzeuger". Professor W.O. Schumann (later the discoverer of the Schumann resonance, a natural radio signal resonating as a standing wave around our planet ) wrote: "After the present examination, carried through as carefully as the limited possibilities of experimentation permitted, I must surmise that we have to face the exploitation of a new source of energy whose further developments can be of immense importance“. Coler’s lab was destroyed by a bomb toward the end of WWII. He survived - and cooperated with British Intelligence, which reproduced his early apparatus and published a Report which was declassified in 1978. 34 pages of that Report are now readily found on the internet. Coler stated that the strength of the magnets did not decrease during use -and suggested that he was tapping a new source of energy. After their exhaustive interrogations and demonstrations, the British judged that Coler was an honest experimenter. A future commercial variation of the Coler device, presently under development, may be of great interest to schools, universities and laboratories.
Claims concerning mechanical magnetic systems that tap some new form of energy have surfaced periodically since the work of Wesley Gary, a Pennsylvania inventor, received the first of two U.S. Patents in 1877. Harvard and MIT Professors visited and were evidently impressed. Harper’s Weekly described his work in an article published in 1879. That article can readily be found on the web.
Most scientists believe that fractional quantum states are not possible. The late Dr. Robert Carroll, a mathematical physicist, predicted several decades ago that inverse quantum states would prove extremely important in the future. Dr. Randell Mills is the pioneer of technology based on energy released as the electrons of hydrogen atoms are induced by a catalyst to transition to lower-energy levels (i.e. drop to lower base orbits around each atom's nucleus) corresponding to fractional quantum numbers. He calls these hydrinos. Ronald Bourgoin, once a graduate student with Dr. Carroll, showed the general wave equation predicts exactly the 137 inverse principal quantum levels claimed by Mills. The late Arie de Geus patented a different energy production method that involved creating so-called fractional hydrogen. Fractional quantum states are now expected to make possible Self Powered Internal Combustion Engines (SPICE™) in hybrid cars that can wirelessly feed power to the grid when parked. There is a huge amount of Hydrogen stored as water. The oceans contain 8 million trillion barrels of water. One barrel of water could yield as much energy as hundreds of barrels of oil - just using hydrinos. The work opens a large-scale cost-competitive alternative to nuclear power. Such plants could supersede the need to burn coal.
The four wheeled automobile was invented in 1885. It will prove ironic if, as now seems likely, it should prove to be the case that human ignorance and scientific arrogance has been responsible for burning fossil fuel to power vehicles and industrial civilization.
Imagine the huge potential impact cars and trucks that never require fossil fuel or recharge represent for revival of the automotive industry and the world economy. Exploring that subject in depth might suffice to start a perpetual commotion. Mark Goldes
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Fri, 2009-06-05 13:09 — MarkGoldesMarkGoldes said:
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Fri, 2009-06-05 11:48 — MarkGoldesDan Yurman said:
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Fri, 2009-06-05 11:25 — Dan YurmanGeoffrey Styles said:
Free discourse is fine and good, but I know that if these "SPICE" comments were showing up on my own site, I'd treat them as spam. If you buy the idea of an internal combustion engine that needs no fuel, I have a bridge or two to sell you.
Dan, a fine posting highlighting the Times's bias without resorting to that word once. I wonder how much the blurring of the line between fact and opinion has contributed to the decline of traditional media. If newspapers offer little more hard news than blogs, readers can find opinions cheaper elsewhere.
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Fri, 2009-06-05 10:57 — Geoffrey StylesMarkGoldes said:
Revolutionary breakthroughs will make possible a Self Powered Internal Combustion Engine - SPICE™.
A SPICE can be used to power a hybrid. It will need no fuel and end the need to plug-in, as the engine can run when parked and wirelessly transmit and sell power to the local utility.
The SPICE is powered by hydrinos. One barrel of water can equal several hundred barrels of oil. To learn more about SPICE and hydrinos see: www.chavaenergy.com Look under the heading HOW?
A second breakthrough is the MagGen™. These magnetic generators, without moving parts, will replace batteries in electric cars, trucks and buses.
Scientists and engineers will doubt these technologies are possible until they have been validated by Independent Laboratories. That is an important step on the agenda.
Until now, car ownership has been an expense. Payments to car owners driving a hybrid with a SPICE, or powered by MagGen, are likely to be substantial.
When vehicles selling power to the grid fill a parking garage, it will have become a multi-megawatt power plant.
The cost of many vehicles might be paid for by utilities, as they purchase power whenever needed. The parked cars each become decentralized power plants - a rapid, cost-effective path to a rebirth of the automobile industry.
And as worldwide production begins to ramp up, they will provide a permanent end to high oil prices and any need for new coal or nuclear power plants!
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Thu, 2009-06-04 20:02 — MarkGoldesPost new comment