Shale Gas and Drinking Water
I should preface my comments on fracking by pointing out that I haven't had any direct experience with the practice, either during my time at Texaco or in my studies of chemical engineering, a field that overlaps petroleum engineering extensively, though not in the specifics of this subject. My analysis and conclusions are the result of some research and a lengthy conversation with a former mentor who knows more about fracking from first-hand experience than most of us ever will.
The main concerns about fracking today involve its potential risk to our supplies of drinking water and the adequacy of current regulations to address this. Understanding whether these concerns are justified requires knowing a bit about how fracking works, as well as where drinking water comes from. I could fill up several postings exploring each of those topics, but for the purposes of this discussion let's take a quick look at one of the shale regions at the heart of this controversy, the Marcellus Shale in the Appalachian region of New York, Pennsylvania and the Virginias. In the course of my research I ran across a handy document on groundwater from Penn State. Aside from surface water (lakes, rivers and streams), it identifies the various aquifers in Pennsylvania by type in Figure 4. The key fact from the perspective of fracking safety is that the deepest of these aquifers lies no more than about 500 ft. below the surface, and typically less than a couple of hundred feet down. By contrast, the Marcellus Shale is found thousands of feet down--in many areas more than a mile below-ground--with a thickness of 250 feet or less. In addition, the gas-bearing layers are sealed in by impermeable rock, or the gas would eventually have migrated somewhere else. In other words, the shale gas reservoirs are isolated by geology and depth from the shallower layers where our underground drinking water is found.
Now consider what happens during drilling. As illustrated in this video from the American Petroleum Institute, the drill must go through the layers that might connect to a drinking water source on its way to the gas-prone shale far below. However, before the deeper horizontal portions of the well are fractured to create fissures in the shale through which the gas can flow, the vertical well is cased in steel pipe and cemented to the rock. This, by the way, is already required by law, and it seals off any possible connection with a drinking-water aquifer before the first gallon of fracturing fluid is pumped into the well. That fluid is mainly water, plus a few chemicals, such as surfactants (detergent) and gel to carry the sand used to prop open the fractured fissures. Some of that water remains in the reservoir--isolated from drinking water--and most of it is returned to the surface where it is captured for treatment and either disposal or re-use in another fracking job. As long as the well was completed in accordance with standard practices, the primary risk to water supplies is from surface activities that are already thoroughly regulated and have been for years. Accidental contamination of surface or groundwater would be handled by the appropriate authorities, and a driller would be liable for any damages.
The more I learned about fracking, the more puzzled I became that it has attracted so much criticism recently. After all, the practice was developed in the late 1940s and has been used since then in tens of thousands of wells to produce literally billions of barrels of domestic oil and trillions of cubic feet of domestic natural gas. That wouldn't be the case if this were some new, risky practice. In fact, it is an entirely mainstream industry practice that has become so vital to the ongoing production of oil & gas from the highly-mature resources of the United States that a study by Global Insight suggested that restrictions on fracking could cut US gas production by anywhere from 10-50% within this decade, depending on their severity. Similar consequences for oil production would follow. The only thing new here is the clever application of fracking with state-of-the-art horizontal drilling to shale reservoirs that couldn't economically produce useful quantities of gas without them.
The fracking controversy also involves a surprising irony: While many of us recall the old cliché about oil and water not mixing, it turns out that oil, natural gas and water are often found together deep underground--and this is not drinking water I'm talking about. Water is also routinely injected into producing oil & gas wells, either as liquid or as steam, in order to enhance recovery, and many wells produce a lot more water than oil. As a result, the oil & gas industry handles staggering volumes of water every day. By comparison fracking, in which water is only used to prepare a well and is not part of the ongoing production process, accounts for just a tiny fraction of the industry's involvement with water--all already regulated, I might add.
So how do we explain the current ruckus over hydraulic fracturing? Perhaps one reason this old practice is attracting new scrutiny is because it's being applied in parts of the country that haven't seen a drilling rig in decades, where it provokes a similar reaction to the arrival of 300-ft. wind turbines, utility-scale solar arrays, and long-distance transmission lines. But rather than just writing this off as yet another manifestation of NIMBY, I'm truly sympathetic to concerns about the integrity of our drinking water. My family drinks water out of the tap, and I would be irate if I thought we were being exposed to something dangerous. When you examine the science behind fracking and see that, if anything, these wells are drilled and isolated with more care than many water wells (which I understand often aren't cased and cemented to protect the water source from contact with other sedimentary layers) it becomes clear that the biggest potential exposure occurs not underground but at the surface, where fracking is just one of many other regulated industrial water uses, and a fairly small one at that. Thus, whether intentionally or as a result of a basic misunderstanding of how this technology works, we are being presented with a false dichotomy concerning shale gas and fracking. The real choice here isn't between energy and drinking water, as critics imply, but between tapping an abundant source of lower-emission domestic energy and what looked like a perpetually-increasing reliance on imported natural gas just a few years ago.
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Geoffrey Styles said:
"I would stop the CO2 emissions from coal, then oil, then gas."
We may arrive at it from entirely different perspectives, but your hierarchy is similar to mine, with the proviso that oil mainly serves a transportation energy market for which substitution looks quite different.
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Fri, 2010-03-05 14:49 — Geoffrey StylesDavid Lewis said:
One flight to Copenhagen for the climate talks exposed them all to more radiation than they would get if they drank the water from the test wells with the tritium traces they were so worried about at Vermont Yankee as their only source of fluid for a month. We live on a radioactive planet that receives radiation from space and the Sun.
The radon that is contained in natural gas, that must exist at elevated levels in the natural gas extracted from the Marcellus Shale because that shale is a uranium ore deposit, survives as the gas is burned on a cookstove and enters the room air where it can be inhaled. Now if you want to call what the National Academy says about what happens when a consumer of gas is exposed to this radon, i.e. the LNR model of radiation risk "arrant nonsense" go ahead.
I said the threat was low.
I can agree with you if what you are saying is that the use of conventional natural gas doesn't contribute materially to the radon content of ambient air. I don't agree if you say there is no risk to anyone from the radiation they are exposed to from the use of natural gas, because I don't know and must defer to the National Academy of Sciences most authoritative report yet on the subject.
All authorities listing radiation hazards that everyone is exposed to cite fossil fuels as a category, with natural gas as a subcategory, as a radiation hazard, and the figures are an order of magnitude greater than what you get from living next to a nuclear plant. That is what I'm saying about the radiation hazard of natural gas. It exists.
The threat of conventional natural gas in the US is very low risk, but the risk is far greater than living next to a nuclear plant. Its a fact. Look it up. Public ignorance and fear about radiation threatens the existence of the entire nuclear power industry. It might as well threaten the fossil fuel industry as well, because not only does the fossil fuel industry threaten us with climate change, they threaten us far more than nuclear does on the radiation front.
No one has measured the radon content of Marcellus Shale gas that I can get to tell me. But it must be far higher than conventional US gas, because the Marcellus Shale is a uranium deposit. I will still tend to agree with anyone who says the threat is very low, although I would be interested to see an analysis. But if someone wants to tell me I should close the existing US reactor fleet over its radiation hazard, I say, take a look at the Marcellus Shale gas and close that down first, if what you care about is radiation.
The existing US reactor fleet is 70% of the low carbon electricity that exists here. The natural gas industry and everyone else is standing by as ignorant fear mongers try to shut this down saying they care about carbon emissions.
If people want to blow radiation hazards out of all proportion, I say take a look at the real radiation hazards that people face. A typical coal plant puts out 2 tons of uranium in its ash that is either emitted directly into the air or dumped as ash each year.
I would stop the CO2 emissions from coal, then oil, then gas. If that means stop using these fuels so be it.
I'm not talking about anything even remotely close to perfect, as in the "perfect being the enemy of the good". I've studied and thought about the implications of the evidence climate science is presenting to civilization for more than twenty years. The perfect is restoring the composition of the atmosphere to the preindustrial. A horrible civilization threatening compromise would be to stabilize the concentration of CO2 at 450 ppm, which risks, as many scientists now say openly, global catastrophe. That compromise is not being made, and we are headed off to far greater levels. Don't give me this I'm calling for perfection. It is ludicrous. I'm calling a spade a spade. The trade off that is being made right now is we are trading the stable climate that the planet had as human beings and civilization evolved for a few more years of business as usual, when we could try to do something about it such as fitting CO2 capture to gas plants or going nuclear instead of freaking out telling anyone who wants to reduce emissions they are being unrealistic.
Don't worry. No one is going to listen to me. We're at the point where the National Academy of Sciences is issuing repeated and very clear warnings we need to move to a low carbon society as quickly as possible, yet the public and the Congress act as if a few stolen emails and the rage of some internet charlatans call science itself into question.- reply
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Fri, 2010-03-05 13:41 — David LewisGeoffrey Styles said:
David,
"It has always been legal to pipe radioactive gas into US homes where it can be inhaled and get to work causing cancer"
This is arrant nonsense. No one breathes natural gas. It is burned in a furnace or hot water heater and exhausted outside the home--at least I hope so, or the CO will get you long before any entrained radon will.
My point in citing that link was not that natural gas contains less radon than air, but that its use doesn't contribute materially to the radon content of ambient air.
What you should consider seriously are the consequences of a philosophy that makes the perfect the enemy of the good. If you shut down natural gas because you are worried about its radiation, you'll end up with more coal--which has radiation concerns of its own--and fewer renewables, because wind and solar, being intermittent and cyclical, need natural gas backup. There are no perfect energy technologies in the real world; it's all about trade-offs.
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Fri, 2010-03-05 12:35 — Geoffrey StylesDavid Lewis said:
What I do argue is that rather than ruin the planetary life support system irrevocably we need to eliminate all CO2 emissions resulting from the use of fossil fuels no matter what the consequences of that decision are, because whatever those consequences are they will be orders of magnitude less than the sea level rise, wholesale global climate disruption, ocean acidification, famine, and war that we are in the process of committing our descendants to as I write. Nuclear looks like it can contribute a lot of zero CO2 emission power, so I say lets get behind it and go for rapid deployment.
Your cited paper doesn't say natural gas contains less radon than ambient air. It says less than the air in buildings. If you look up EPA information on radiation hazards faced by Americans you will find that radon in the air in buildings and homes is regarded as a serious problem that needs remediation, as it is responsible for 20,000 lung cancer deaths in the US each year.But your article on radon in natural gas in the UK is not relevant to US gas produced from the Marcellus Shale. According to IGEM, the Institute of Gas Engineers and Managers in the UK "the [radon] levels found in the natural gas extracted from the North Sea are much lower than those found in gas supplies in other parts of the world"
see: http://www.igem.org.uk/Radon.asp
I was referring to the radon in the "unconventional" gas now being produced from the "highly radioactive" Marcellus Shale.
See top of page 8 for the words "highly radioactive":http://www.pe.tamu.edu/wattenbarger/public_html/Selected_papers/--Shale%20Gas/fractured%20shale%20gas%20potential%20in%20new%20york.pdf
Shales of this type have been mined in Sweden for uranium, The US shales have been similarly considered:
see page 22, and page 29: http://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2005/5294/pdf/sir5294_508.pdf
Radiation in waste water brought to the surface merely producing this gas is so radioactive that: "13 samples of wastewater brought to the surface... from drilling... contain levels of radium...267 times the limit safe to discharge into the environment and thousands of times the limit safe for people to drink"
see: http://www.propublica.org/feature/is-the-marcellus-shale-too-hot-to-handle-1109
But this isn't my point. It has always been legal to pipe radioactive gas into US homes where it can be inhaled and get to work causing cancer, and I don't expect things to change now. The threat is low.
But regular natural gas does expose an individual who uses it to 15 times the dose anyone would receive from living right next to a nuclear plant using nuclear generated electricity. I'm told the theat from gas is low. In that case, the threat from nuclear is 1/15th of low. Nevertheless, there are people trying to shut all nuclear in this country down over radiation hazards.
By the time people are telling me that gas is good because it exposes me to 15 times more radioactivity than living next to a nuclear plant and only emits 22 times the CO2 that nuclear does, its time to ask who is zooming who.
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Fri, 2010-03-05 12:06 — David LewisPeterCacioppi said:
Natural gas is going to be tough to beat for peaking power and home heating. It's also an easy oil substitute for petro-chemical products like plastics and fertilizer, and has some potential as a transportation fuel.
If oil spikes to $150 again, the Republican's "all of the above" energy policy is going to look pretty appealing to the electorate.- reply
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Fri, 2010-02-26 13:57 — PeterCacioppiGeoffrey Styles said:
Although I am entirely supportive of expanding the role of nuclear power, I find this insistence that nuclear could somehow run everything today as unrealistic as the assertion that we could rely entirely on intermittent and cyclical renewables. There are very few either/or decisions to be made concerning our future energy mix, but rather a lot of yes/and decisions. Gas is the least offensive fossil fuel on an emissions basis and so ought to be the last one backed out by lower-emission sources. I'd be happy to have this conversation again after the first dozen new commercial nuclear plants--of any size--come on-line in the US.
By the way, here's at least one scientific paper indicating that the radon exposure from natural gas is well below background levels, i.e. no more than from ambient air, to which it appears to contribute less than 0.001% of annual radon emissions:
http://rpd.oxfordjournals.org/content/97/3/259.abstract
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Fri, 2010-02-26 08:57 — Geoffrey StylesDavid Lewis said:
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Fri, 2010-02-26 02:09 — David LewisGeoffrey Styles said:
Rod,
The state regulators apparently share experience and best practices through various organizations, including the Groundwater Protection Council. And a state like Pennsylvania has enormous oil and gas experience, even if some of its eastern counties haven't seen a drilling rig since before I was born.
Your point about liability and insurance is a good one, though if you look at who has most of the acreage in the shale plays, they're pretty substantial companies.
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Thu, 2010-02-25 21:43 — Geoffrey StylesRodAdams said:
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Thu, 2010-02-25 20:03 — RodAdamsGeoffrey Styles said:
Pete,
I haven't looked at Simmons's critique of shale, though I know that there's some skepticism that the economics can support envisioned production levels at prices low enough to be consistent with the demand required to absorb it all. With regard to the retulatory issues involved in fracking, I don't think it would take much in the way of additional permitting delays and compliance costs to make at least some portions of these plays uneconomical at current gas prices. I just haven't examined the detail closely enough to quantify that, and if I had, I'd want to charge for it.
I hear mixed reports on how applicable this approach is outside the US. The main thing I'd look at is the availability and maturity of the conventional gas resources in the markets in which it would be applied. If the price is set by LNG or very mature onshore gas (e.g. Netherlands), it might look good. If it had to compete with pipeline gas from the Middle East, then it might be many years before shale gas would look attractive.
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Thu, 2010-02-25 16:10 — Geoffrey StylesPeterCacioppi said:
I have a couple of questions.
Thanks again.
Pete
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Thu, 2010-02-25 14:57 — PeterCacioppiGeoffrey Styles said:
Marc,
The distinction I'd draw here is between whether the process itself is inherently any more risky than any other technology in wide use, or whether a few operators have made errors that have resulted in contamination and should be held accountable. I'd argue strongly that the former view is simply wrong. Consider the recent explosion at the gas-fired power plant project in CT, periodic rail or pipeline accidents involving liquid or gaseous fuels, and a variety of other incidents. You can't produce energy risk-free, even if the risk is of a wind turbine blade disintegrating and flinging parts for miles. Fracking has been used for decades all over the world, and if there are only a handful of incidents under discussion, that's hardly an indictment of the whole practice. I would bet that a lot more hydrocarbons enter the water supply from improper dumping of motor oil--a huge, under-reported problem--and from leaking service station tanks and home heating oil tanks than from fracking.
As for the labeling issue, I see the desirability of regulators having access to the content of fracking fluids--something that is provided at least in part by the material safety data sheets (MSDS) that drillers are required to post under current regulations--though I'm also sympathetic to service companies that want to protect their intellectual property from competitors. Keeping anything confidential these days is a challenge.
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Wed, 2010-02-24 14:58 — Geoffrey StylesMarcGunther said:
But..
Isn't it the case there are the lawsuits/complaints about contaminated drinking water that has been "linked" -- a loaded word, that does not mean caused -- by fracking?And what do you think of the request by citizens groups and environmentalists that the gas companies be more transparent about the chemicals used in fracking?
Again, thanks for bringing your experience and research to bear on this issue and for doing so in such a fair-minded way.
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Wed, 2010-02-24 13:36 — MarcGuntherGeoffrey Styles said:
Without excusing any mistakes that may occur--likely due to botched well cementing, which can be tested for pretty easily before completion--the article you linked to reflects a poor understanding of the subsurface composition and production mechanisms. Just how many feet do critics think the fissures created in fracking extend? The whole point of fracking is to increase the effective surface area in contact with the well; once it starts producing, gas under pressure (which increases with depth) is going to follow the path of least resistance to the surface: the well.
On the other hand, growing competition for water resources is a reasonable and non-trivial concern, though one that is hardly limited to hydraulic fracturing. Do we need different policies for how water is divvied up for farming, industry and public consumption? Perhaps. However, the volume of water used in this process pales in comparison to routine water use by numerous other activities.
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Wed, 2010-02-24 10:48 — Geoffrey StylesWilmotMcCutchen said:
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Tue, 2010-02-23 21:58 — WilmotMcCutchenGeoffrey Styles said:
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Tue, 2010-02-23 17:55 — Geoffrey StylesWilmotMcCutchen said:
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Tue, 2010-02-23 17:18 — WilmotMcCutchenPost new comment