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peak oil

The Energy Gang: Peak Oil in an Era of Fossil Fuel Abundance [PODCAST]

May 18, 2015 by Stephen Lacey

Peak Oil and Fuel Booms

Over the last few years, those worried about peak oil have been on the defensive. The fracking revolution has brought an abundance of oil and gas that no one thought possible. So we can declare peak oil dead, right? Chris Nelder, an energy analyst, has a simple answer: No.[read more]

Why We Have an Oversupply of Almost Everything, From Oil to Labor to Capital

May 9, 2015 by Gail Tverberg

Supply and Risk

Global oversupply extends beyond commodities, elevating deflation risk. To me, this is a very serious issue, quite likely signaling that we are reaching what has been called Limits to Growth, a situation modeled in 1972 in a book by that name. What happens is that economic growth eventually runs into limits.[read more]

Overview of Our Energy Modeling Problem

May 2, 2015 by Gail Tverberg
10

Fuel Limits and Energy Modeling

We live in a world with limits, yet our economy needs growth. How can we expect this scenario to play out? My view is that this problem will play out as a fairly near-term financial problem, with low oil prices leading to a fall in oil production. But not everyone comes to this conclusion.[read more]

Putting the Real Story of Energy and the Economy Together

April 17, 2015 by Gail Tverberg
11

Workers and Energy Economics

What is the real story of energy and the economy? We hear two predominant energy stories. One is the story economists tell: The economy can grow forever; energy shortages will have no impact on the economy. We can simply substitute other forms of energy, or do without.[read more]

Macquarie's Brian Bagnell: Forget Peak Oil, Worry About Peak Demand

February 28, 2015 by Jim Patrick
1

Oil, Demand, and Energy Markets

 

Brian Bagnell, CFA, is a research analyst in Canadian oil and gas company analysis for Macquarie Capital Markets in Calgary. He was formerly an investment associate at the NB Investment Management Corp. He holds a bachelor's degree from the University of New Brunswick.[read more]

Eight Pieces of Our Oil Price Predicament

October 25, 2014 by Gail Tverberg
6

Oil Prices and Problems

A person might think that oil prices would be fairly stable. Prices would set themselves at a level that would be high enough for the majority of producers, so that in total producers would provide enough–but not too much–oil for the world economy. Unfortunately, it doesn’t seem to work that way recently.[read more]

Increasing Oil Reserves and Peak Oil

October 22, 2014 by Ripudaman Malhotra

Oil and Risk Management

I have often noted that since the writing of 'A Cubic Mile of Oil' that global reserves of oil have actually increased, not decreased, despite greatly increased consumption. In this post I want to dig deeper and look at the changes that have brought about this paradox, and what it means for Peak Oil.[read more]

WSJ Gets it Wrong on 'Why Peak Oil Predictions Haven't Come True'

October 10, 2014 by Gail Tverberg
11

The Wall Street Journal and Peak Oil

The Wall Street Journal published “Why Peak Oil Predictions Haven’t Come True, which seems to say there are two possible outcomes: The peak oil version of what to expect from oil limits is correct, or diminishing returns can and are being put off by technological progress. But a third outcome is actually happening.[read more]

Update on US Natural Gas, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables

August 28, 2014 by Gail Tverberg
11

Fuel, Electricity, and the US

United States natural gas production leveled off in 2013, because of the low level of US natural gas prices. In 2013, there was growth in gas production in Pennsylvania in the Marcellus, but many other states, including Texas, saw decreases in production.[read more]

Making Sense of the US Oil Story

August 8, 2014 by Gail Tverberg
20

Oil and US History

We frequently see stories telling us how well the United States is doing at oil extraction. The fact that there are stories in the press about the United States wanting to export crude oil adds to the hype. How many of these stories are actually true?[read more]

World Oil Production at 3/31/2014: Where are We Headed?

July 25, 2014 by Gail Tverberg
8

Oil Production and Energy Future

The standard way to make forecasts of almost anything is to look at recent trends and assume that this trend will continue, at least for the next several years. With world oil production, the trend in oil production looks fairly benign, with the trend slightly upward. However, we may be dealing with an unstable situation.[read more]

Debt: Eight Reasons This Time is Different

July 11, 2014 by Gail Tverberg
1

Debt and Future Risk

Many seem to believe that if we worked our way out of debt problems in the past, we can do the same thing again. The same assets may have new owners, but everything will work together in the long run. Businesses will continue operating, and people will continue to have jobs.[read more]

The Best Way to Profit from Peak Oil: Interview with Angelos Damaskos

May 6, 2014 by Jim Patrick

Angelos Damaskos is the founder and CEO of Sector Investment Managers Ltd. of London, a regulated investment advisory company. He is the Principal Advisor of the Junior Oils Trust and the Junior Gold Fund. The Junior Oils Trust focuses its investments in smaller companies.[read more]

Eight Energy Myths Explained

April 28, 2014 by Gail Tverberg
76

Energy Myths

Republicans, Democrats, and environmentalists all have favorite energy myths. Even Peak Oil believers have favorite energy myths. The following are a few common misbeliefs, coming from a variety of energy perspectives. I will start with a recent myth, and then discuss some longer-standing ones.[read more]

Oil and Gas: A Flawed Prediction?

February 10, 2014 by David Hone
5

Flawed Prediction

One of the comments I quite often get at external events is that “The oil and gas industry has only got 20 years”. This doesn’t just come from enthusiastic climate campaigners, but from thoughtful, very well educated people in a number of disciplines related to the climate issue.[read more]