predictions

Global Renewable Microgrid Deployment Growth in 2015 Set to Continue in 2016

January 1, 2016 by Arnaud Henin

Renewables and Microgrids

As 2015 draws to a close, it is time to review the progress and status of renewable microgrid development around the world. The past year has been a good one for renewable microgrids. There has been significant growth in the deployment, implementation and interest in renewable microgrids globally.[read more]

Cleantech IPOs: Predictions Revisited, 2015 Winners, 2016 Picks

December 31, 2015 by Eric Wesoff

IPO Reviews and Predictions

An Initial Public Offering (IPO) or acquisition is the promised land for venture capital-funded startups -- but the fact is that most cleantech companies require a longer time frame, a bigger budget, and a different set of investor skills to go public, compared to other fields.[read more]

How Our Energy Problem Leads to a Debt Collapse Problem

September 16, 2015 by Gail Tverberg
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Energy and Debt Predictions

We don’t stop to think about how the whole economy works together. A major reason is that we have been lacking data to see long-term relationships. In this post, I show some longer-term time series relating to energy growth, GDP growth, and debt growth that help us understand our situation better.[read more]

Lessons From a Failed Prediction

September 1, 2015 by Robert Rapier

While there are actually other stories unfolding in the world of energy, you would never know that by my inbox. Most of the correspondence I have received in the past week is still related to oil prices, particularly following the recent huge rally in crude futures.[read more]

EIA Expects Near-Term Decline in Natural Gas Production in Major Shale Regions

August 26, 2015 by U.S. EIA: Today in Energy

Natural Gas Decline

Natural gas production across all major shale regions in EIA's Drilling Productivity Report (DPR) is projected to decrease for the first time in September. Production from these seven shale regions reached a high in May at 45.6 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) and is expected to decline to 44.9 Bcf/d in September.[read more]

Why the $20 Oil Predictions are Wrong

August 21, 2015 by Robert Rapier
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Oil Production, Prices, and Predictions

As the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) retests the $40 per barrel (bbl) mark, some pundits are again calling for WTI to fall to $15 or $20/bbl. The same thing happened earlier in the year when crude prices tested $40. Lots of people predicted $20, the price went to $60, and the $20 crowd went quiet for a while.[read more]

Friday Energy Facts: Projected Electric Capacity Additions are Below Recent Historical Levels

May 15, 2015 by U.S. EIA: Today in Energy

Electrical Capacity and the Future

Capacity additions through 2017, much of which are under construction, average about 17 GW per year and about half are nonhydro renewable plants (mainly wind and solar) prompted by federal tax incentives and renewable portfolio standards.[read more]

Patents Forecast Technological Change

April 24, 2015 by Energy @ MIT
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Predicting Technological Innovation

How fast is online learning evolving? Are wind turbines a promising investment? And how long before a cheap hoverboard makes it to market? Attempting to answer such questions requires knowing something about the rate at which a technology is improving.[read more]

The 'Global Calculator': A New Interactive Climate Change Scenario Tool

April 4, 2015 by Roman Kilisek

Climate Change Prediction Tools

A new tool named the “Global Calculator” is designed to interactively raise awareness of climate change impacts. A lack of action on behalf of the international community to implement global mitigation and adaptation strategies is expected to increase the severity of these climate change impacts.[read more]

Global Wind and Solar Installations Exceeded 'Expert' Growth Predictions

April 2, 2015 by Roman Kilisek
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Renewables Beating Predictions

Global growth in renewable energy sources continues to break records while the installed capacity of these systems steadily increases. Wind and solar power still account for a small share of the overall power generation mix, but the growth of these energy sources continues to impress analysts and surpass expectations.[read more]

China Coal Use Can Peak this Decade: What Did the IEA Miss?

December 22, 2014 by Lauri Myllyvirta

China Peak Coal and the IEA

The IEA published its Medium-Term Coal Market Report, with a lot of attention devoted to proffering the notion that China’s coal consumption will continue to grow until the end of this decade. A thorough analysis of Chinese energy trends suggests that coal peak is much more achievable than the IEA made it seem.[read more]

The Final Five Smart Grid Predictions: A Progress Report

December 17, 2014 by Christine Hertzog
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I made ten predictions all the way back in January 2014 about Smart Grid and Smart City trends and changes that will occur between 2014 and 2020. Here is an update on the final five predictions. You can review the full predictions and judge for yourself the quality of my crystal ball.[read more]

Reading the Tea Leaves in the Oil Markets [VIDEO]

December 15, 2014 by Robert Rapier
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Oil Market Predictions

This week I would like to post a new interview that I did with Jason Burack of Wall Street for Main Street. I have been asked many times in recent weeks for comments on what’s happening in the oil and gas markets. Here I lay things out as I see them in a wide-ranging 40-minute interview.[read more]

Energy Quote of the Day: 'Oil Prices are Expected to Remain High Enough in 2015'

December 12, 2014 by Jared Anderson

Oil Prices in 2015

The US Energy Information Administration recently slashed its 2015 oil price forecasts, but the statistical arm of the DOE still expects total oil output to increase to volumes not seen since 1972. It will take some time before current lower oil price levels manifest in lower US oil production volumes.[read more]

Great Progress on Smart Grid and Smart City Predictions for 2020

December 9, 2014 by Christine Hertzog

How much can actually change in a year? When it comes to Smart Grid and Smart City topics, the answer is quite simply that quite a lot can change. Here’s a progress report on my ten predictions about Smart Grid and Smart Cities activity by 2020.[read more]