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On World Bank nixes nuclear energy

Dan Lewis gets it. He writes, "The World Bank is bettting against the continued existence of civilization . . ." 

It is putting short term monetary gain ahead of long term survival of life on the planet.  We're our own worst enemies in terms of continuing our gene pool.

April 13, 2010    View Comment    

On World Bank Needs to do Better on Energy Sector Investments Post South African Coal Project

Is it inexplicable to anyone else why the World Bank didn't revive the nuclear energy tender Eskom has to cancel last year? 
April 8, 2010    View Comment    

On U.S. abstains on vote to proliferate coal in South Africa

When you consider the carbon emissions from a 4,800 MW power plant, the question is what other source of energy could provide the same amount of electricity without them? The answer is nuclear energy. Four Westinghouse AP1000 reactors could do the job at a cost of $3,000/KW. 

The reactor is already an international standard. China is building four of them and has begun licensed use of the design for a "local" version. 

What's interesting is that South Africa had to cancel a tender for new nuclear reactors last year because it could not raise the money for them.  In a carbon constrained era, why isn't the World Bank funding nuclear reactors instead of coal fired plants?

April 8, 2010    View Comment    

On New York takes another swing at Indian Point

There are two dissimilar forces at work in the Indian Point controversy. Like any regulated utility, Entergy’s corporate stance is to spend as little as possible for environmental compliance without getting tagged with violations from state government. As a publically traded company, the benchmark is an index of the percentage of share value which is eaten up by all forms of regulatory compliance. 

 

Stock analysts will compare what Entergy spends to Exelon or Progress or Southern, etc.  In other words, the pressure on environmental costs is a competitive factor relative to stock price.  None of these publically traded utilities want to spend one dollar more than the next guy on fish screens or any other kind of environmental mitigation measures that are unrelated to NRC requirements for plant safety.

 

BTW: Entergy’s stock ((NYSE:ETR) was trading only a fraction off its 52-week high on April 1st.   Readers should take a look to see if the publicity over the weekend has any effect when the market opens Monday.

 

Second, Riverkeeper is playing a power game.  It doesn’t care about Entergy’s share price, but it does care about aligning itself with Andrew Cuomo and having a say in New York state environmental policies should he be elected governor.

 

In short, Entergy’s financial measures are irrelevant to Riverkeeper because the greens aren’t playing in that sandbox.    There is no payoff for Entergy to be a “good corporate citizen” because the forces arrayed against it don’t care about it.  Their objective is to close the plant by imposing regulatory burdens that will force Entergy to walk away.  Knocking off a nuclear power plant is a form of cutting notches on a six gun for an environmental group. If successful, it would force political leaders throughout the NY lower Hudson region to pay attention whenever Riverkeeper had something to say.

 

Under the circumstances, Energy has to convince NY DEQ that improved fish screens are a “best technology” as a means of blunting Riverkeeper’s push for cooling towers.  There may be other forms of leverage, but appealing to the public over rates and costs, and fossil carbon emissions relative to greenhouse gases, may not trump the usual hysteria about things nuclear.

 

If Entergy was serious about engaging the public in New York and Vermont, they would have opened a corporate office in the northeast and taken proactive measures to turn the public dialog around.  They didn't but that doesn't make them clueless.  They are operating out of the business model they understand and which works in much of the rest of their service areas. As they see it environmentalists are pests. Not taken them seriously is what has gotten the firm into real hot water this time in New York, no pun intended here.

 

If you were an Entergy executive, what would you do?

 

PS: I have no relationship with the firm and don’t own any of its stock.

 

April 4, 2010    View Comment    

On Pebble Bed’s perilous path ahead

The Pebble Bed concept as developed by South Africa is really based on a German design concept from the 1950s.  For that matter, the so-called Traveling Wave design concept being developed by TerraVentures, with funding from the Gates Foundation, is based on a decades old concept first described by Edward Teller at the dawn of the atomic age.

Every industry with a significant technology infrastructure is chock full of interesting ideas that hang around at the fringes of the market for lack of investor confidence.  Usually, the prevailing market share of the dominant technology form prevails because it works, has good support services, and known cost curves.  It isn't inherently better, more efficient, or even the most profitable.  It gains and holds its market position because of predictability. Firms know how to use it, pay for it, and make money from it.

The Pebble Bed technology will move to the mainstream of the nuclear industry when it reaches a level of technology maturity that addresses the issue of "predictability." When customers for process heat know that they can get so much steam for so many dollars, they will buy it.  The real challenge for the Pebble Bed reactor isn't that a demonstration unit can be built. It is that the vendor(s) can prove they can build many of them which can then be operated with predictable costs over time.
April 2, 2010    View Comment    

On World has much at stake in nuclear power decision - Brookings Institute and GPPI nuclear conference

Stephen Gloor

The popularity poll cited in your comment is over shadowed by the election results in which Chancellor Merkel was re-elected running on a platform of keeping the nation's nuclear power plants. 

March 18, 2010    View Comment    

On World has much at stake in nuclear power decision - Brookings Institute and GPPI nuclear conference

The report prepared by the German government's Environmental Ministry is hardly impartial.  Norbert Rottgen, the serving minister, is among the members of Merkel's "grand coalition" who wants to close the nation's 17 nuclear reactors.  In doing so the nation would become hostage to the risks of relying on supplies of natural gas from Russia. 

However, Merkel won the last election so Rottgen's views did not hold sway with the German people.  The answer at the ballot box is a clear vote "yes" for nuclear energy.

March 17, 2010    View Comment    

On World has much at stake in nuclear power decision - Brookings Institute and GPPI nuclear conference

The key to cost control for construction of a new nuclear power plant is risk sharing between the EPC contractor, the reactor vendor, and the utility. This model is being developed at NRG's South Texas Project. For a merchant plant like STP, time-to-market is a critical success factor as every month of delay represents revenue that is lost. It's like an airplane that takes off with empty seats.  

Risk sharing involves a contractual agreement to share the risk of cost escalation for components, materials, and time.  In some cases, the EPC contractor will even take an equity position in the project, and with key suppliers, to insure focus on cost by all concerned.  This model is being used by South Korean firms for the new build of at least four 1,400 MW reactors ($20 billion) in the UAE.

Anti-nuclear organizations like Mr. Romm's are beating the "cost" drum in an effort to scare investors away from nuclear and toward solar and wind projects.  The name of the game is competition for capital.
March 16, 2010    View Comment    

On World has much at stake in nuclear power decision - Brookings Institute and GPPI nuclear conference

In the first year of the Obama administration, an enthusiastic admirier of energy efficiency got ahead of the headlights at the White House by declaring there is no need for new baseload electricty generation plants.  The White House Science Advisor later repudiated that view.

On Feb 16 of this year the President awarded $8.3 billion in new federal loan guarnatees to the Southerm Co for its construction of twin Westinghouse 1,150 MW nuclear reactors at its Vogtle site in Georgia.

Small nukes, and large ones, will be part of the energy mix over the rest of this century. 

 

March 16, 2010    View Comment    

On India expands Russian reactor deal

Both Westinghouse and GE-Hitachi have inked relationships with heavy manufacturing firms within India's domestic economy.  However, the liability issue is a key element of India's 1-2-3 Agreement with the U.S. and it remains unresolved as a result of the latest legislative setback.
March 16, 2010    View Comment    

On Protecting Taxpayers from a Financial Meltdown - Calculating the Credit Subsidy Fee on a Loan Guarantee for a New Nuclear Reactor

I enjoyed writing about the Shill-o-meter.  It helps me put Romm's views in perspective.
March 10, 2010    View Comment    

On Protecting Taxpayers from a Financial Meltdown - Calculating the Credit Subsidy Fee on a Loan Guarantee for a New Nuclear Reactor

Romm spends a long time getting to a single point. If you push the fee for the loan guarantee too high, the nuclear utilities will walk away and not build new reactors.  This may be the outcome Romm and his supporters really want which is why he spends so much time on the issue. I hope Romm isn't still citing the now outdated CBO estimate of a 50% default rate. Even CBO's executive director has disavowed that number.

Romm hopes to contain the argument within the context of insurance mumbo jumbo, but let's be clear what's really at stake. If Romm and his supporters can bottle up new nuclear power plants inside of unrealistic financing requirements, then there outcome is more investment money for natural gas, solar, and wind developers.  

Also, nuclear energy is the only carbon emission free source of electricity that will meet baseload demand requirements.  Assuming Romm really wants to do something about global warming, and isn't just shilling for a preferred group of investors (perish the thought), then his extended essay against nuclear energy makes no sense.
 
Fire up the 'Shill-O-Meter"
 
I'm enclosing for the benefit of readers a diagram of a newly invented device for public relations professionals called the "shill meter." 
 
With expert calibration available from K St. Lobbyist Services, Inc., it detects the output of a slice of the electromagnetic spectrum called "Shilling Radiation." 
 
It confounds the usual paradigms of protection - time, distance, and shielding. In fact, it is attracted to the pleasure centers of the brain though so far no harmful health effects other than temporary mental disorientation have been discovered to date.
 
Portable versions of the unit are available for rent for a nominal fee from 7-11 and other major brand covnenience stores.  You get a twinkie and a cup of coffee as a bonus if you return it within the rental period. 
 
I urge all readers to acquire one and use it with haste whenever you encounter one of Romm's tirades about the evils of nuclear energy.  You'll thank me for it.
March 9, 2010    View Comment