----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- David Gold is author of GreenGold Blog. He is a former entrepreneur and engineer with national public policy experience, heads up cleantech investments for Access Venture Partners (www.accessvp.com).
Feel-Good Government Grants Leading Cleantech Astray
Other Posts by David Gold
Meet a Cleantech VC Who is Unconvinced of Man-Made Climate Change - January 3, 2012
Obama Cleantech Stimulus: Bad Policy, Bad Politics and Bad for Cleantech - November 2, 2011
Top 5 Things Cleantech Entrepreneurs Fail to Understand About Raising Venture Capital - October 17, 2011
Renewable Energy Standards: Savvy or Silly? - May 19, 2011
You Call This "Cleantech"? - January 13, 2011
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DavidGold said:
Can't agree more that a "free market works when there is a profit to be made". That is the essence of my post -- the government should be focused on the economics and making it profitable for the free market to provide clean technology solutions. Not hand free hand outs to the private sector. I'll have a future post that dives into that topic.WilmotMcCutchen said:
We'll see if the government-run economy of China can walk its talk about a 40% cut in the ratio of CO2 tons per unit GDP. A free market works when there is a profit to be made by supplying a product that sells. Like gasoline, or fiber optic networks. But how do you make money on something that the power, steel, and cement industries do not want to buy because it looks like wasted money? Try to force them to buy it by penalizing their emissions and declaring CO2 a danger requiring remediation? Their response will be that there is no available control technology (BACT) so the EPA is commanding the impossible, and therefore they are excused from compliance. They won't spend money to develop technology that might undercut that defense. Another response will be to move what's left of our carbon-intensive industries offshore. What can you think of that might improve the chance of remediation equipment becoming valuable so the free market can work? How about the negotiable tax credit idea?DavidGold said:
The Internet "bubble" is a fantastic example of the free market working perfectly. Huge sums of money were invested in the Internet before the bubble and hug amounts after the bubble. The "bubble" was the market correcting itself -- something the government is incapable of doing. For every "Enron" there are more than ten times the number of examples of failed government grant programs because they fail much more than they work. The free market pursues the path to profits as it should. The government can channel that power by making sure the markets are free, fair and, when necessary, take into account societal goals that may not be immediately reflected in the costs/revenues the market sees. How much do you believe as been invested by the private sector over the years in oil and gas exploration and infrastructure to process and transport it? Orders of magnitude in excess of the hundreds of billions of government handouts. Let's be thankful we didn't build that industry with government grants our we would have had a trillion dollar debt long ago. What type of investment time horizons do those investments have? Very long term. And, having worked in Washington, if you don't believe that lobbying plays a roll in the award of government grants you proceed from a naive assumption. There is a reason that the vast majority of cleantech grants have gone to large companies. History has clearly shown that government run economies don't produce results (See the USSR, Cuba and North Korea as just a few examples) and, conversely, that the free market does. A government run cleantech effort will meet the same fate. Let's unleash the power of the free market on this problem by focusing on the economics of energy.
WilmotMcCutchen said:
If indeed it's all about lobbying, and not merit, then some heads should roll. Nevertheless, the money for new clean tech development and deployment at utility scale still will have to come from government somehow. The scale (estimated at hundreds of billions of dollars) is too large for the private sector, which is still recovering from the events of 2008. The affected industries don't want anything to change, and they dread the development of expensive control technology (BACT) they might be compelled to install to remediate their pollution. Fumbling government research, or worse, is fine with them, so you can see how a government employee at a funding agency, who is looking for a future salary from the polluters, might not share the zeal of environmental activists for finding solutions. I don't share your faith in the private sector taking a leading role, as it used to back before the internet bubble and Enron. Even a 7-year exit for VC capital is too short. There has to be steady support for decades of work. What's at issue is something that more resembles a highway system than a gas pipeline or the internet, so the profit motive just isn't enough incentive for clean tech investment. Maybe the focus should be on rewards for demonstrable progress in remediation, rather than punishments for emissions which are necessary for reliable electricity. Rewards might be in the form of negotiable tax credits, where the government agrees that future tax liability can be reduced by proven emission control progress. So you pay for clean tech with future tax revenues, not present money. Just brainstorming. Your thoughts?-
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