An editorial in today's New York Times praising the energy priorities included in the President's latest budget is little more than a rubber stamp of a set of policies in serious need of rethinking. The goals the Times espouses, of "reducing America’s dependence on foreign oil and giving American workers a fighting chance in the global competition for clean-energy jobs", are perfectly fine; however, what's entirely absent is any critical assessment of whether the expensive programs they chose to highlight will contribute meaningfully to accomplishing them.
Start with the reauthorization of Treasury cash grants for renewable energy projects. A quick review of the Treasury's own tracking spreadsheet shows that 77% of the $10.4 billion awarded since 2009 under this program went to projects employing wind turbines, a mostly mature technology, half the value of which goes to offshore manufacturers, based on the American Wind Energy Association's own assessment. If the goal is putting Americans to work producing wind power hardware, this is a grossly inefficient way to do it. Moreover, this temporary program was instituted to fill the gap created when the market for "tax equity", private transactions that exchange current cash for future tax credits, dried up during the financial crisis. Tax equity investors have recently been returning to the market, but they can't readily compete with free money from the Treasury Department. In other words, at this late date the Treasury cash grants are a solution to a problem that their continuation would help perpetuate.
Then there's the matter of the wind production tax credit, which I looked at in some detail recently. While I agree that it's neither fair nor appropriate to drop the industry off a cliff by allowing this benefit to expire all at once, it is high time that the 20-year-old tax credit for wind power be reduced to account for the maturity of onshore wind technology, and then gradually phased out on a firm schedule. The Times makes no mention of any of this.
It's also important to understand that whatever the technologies covered by these two programs may contribute to reducing greenhouse gas emissions, they don't save a barrel of imported oil, because they produce electricity and the US generates less than 1% of our electricity from oil, much of that in island or other remote locations that can't easily get reliable power through other means. That makes it doubly ironic that the only "subsidies" the Times opposes are the current tax benefits for oil and gas companies, arguably the only program mentioned in their editorial that actually does help reduce US imports of foreign oil.
The President's 2013 budget, which has little chance of adoption as proposed, includes a number of other energy provisions. Some of them are very worthy, including increased support for energy R&D that is too risky or long-term for industry to undertake on its own. However, it also includes an extension of the loan guarantee program that gave us Solyndra--a program that should not be renewed without much stronger oversight than the DOE has provided to date, beyond just hiring a "chief risk officer". It also mentions "enhancements to the existing electric vehicle tax incentive", a $7,500 per vehicle credit that benefits mostly higher-income taxpayers and does little to reduce either emissions or oil imports. What I don't see in these proposals is any recognition that many of the programs they seek to extend or expand have either outlived their usefulness or fallen short of delivering the benefits on which they were originally justified, and that every dollar spent inefficiently in this manner adds to our $1.3 trillion deficit, the necessary narrowing of which keeps getting pushed ever further into the future. The administration's latest energy priorities would have us spending as though it were still 2006.
New Budget Reflects Inefficient Energy Priorities
Authored by:
Geoffrey Styles
Geoffrey Styles is Managing Director of GSW Strategy Group, LLC, an energy and environmental strategy consulting firm. Since 2002 he has served as a consultant and advisor, helping organizations and executives address systems-level challenges. His industry experience includes 22 years at Texaco Inc., culminating in a senior position on Texaco's leadership team for strategy development, ...
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Willem Post says:
Geoffrey,
It looks like Germany aims to significantly reduce PV solar subsidies to reduce installations from about 7,500 MW in 2010 and 2011, to about 1,000 MW in 2012. PV solar will be "falling of the cliff"
Why not have wind fall of the cliff in the US? It is long overdue.
http://theenergycollective.com/willem-post/69710/will-germany-make-global-warming-difference
http://theenergycollective.com/willem-post/71771/energy-efficiency-first-renewables-later
http://theenergycollective.com/willem-post/74311/german-eeg-program
http://theenergycollective.com/willem-post/74847/pv-solar-energy-still-success-story-germany
Rick Engebretson says:
We can't pretend we are "investing in research" while driving success elsewhere. Please forgive the details, but it might illustrate the absurdity of current policy.
I've been programming the serial port on Linux. The serial port on a PC has 6 control wires and 2 communication wires. Linux is a free open source OS derived from Unix by a Finn, with tons of programming tools, also free. The serial port is still the choice for automation.
I use a programming language FreePascal, from a Dutch group, that helps teach a DOD language Ada, also free on Linux. Various other graphical tools include the editor and window manager from Russia.
What is interesting to me is the possibility of using "semaphores" (another old Unix feature) to "stop and go" separate processes from the control lines (sometimes used for modem communication control). Stop and go of 100kHz should run most motors. China is automating because they have full employment.
I started programming with punch cards and paper tape, watched this industry transform. Now widescreen color supercomputers are available for free with more tools that one can list, and American policy pushed it away to support windmills they call research. To prototype a circuit board Thailand is good.
And now Iran, Afghan., Pak., want nukes and oil or they will fight us.
Clearly, the inmates have taken over the asylum.
Bill Woods says:
"Then there's the matter of the wind production tax credit, which I looked at in some detail recently."
The second link goes to
"AWEA Wind Power Supply Chain Workshop 2011"
http://www.awea.org/events/supply_chain_f2011.cfm
Is that what you meant?
Adriaan Kamp says:
Maybe it´s time to review the government-business relations, and start to invest in new infrastructure, projects and new business models in stead of technology, only.
There is much to be gained by innovating the present status quo and to introduce and realize improved collaboration between utilities, cities and transportation, and energy and technology solution providers.
Scott Edward Anderson is a consultant, blogger, and media commentator who blogs at The Green Skeptic. More »
Christine Hertzog is a consultant, author, and a professional explainer focused on Smart Grid. More »
Gary Hunt Gary is an Executive-in-Residence at Deloitte Investments with extensive experience in the energy & utility industries. More »
Jesse Jenkins is a graduate student and researcher at MIT with expertise in energy technology, policy, and innovation. More »
Jim Pierobon helps trade associations/NGOs, government agencies and companies communicate about cleaner energy solutions. More »
Geoffrey Styles is Managing Director of GSW Strategy Group, LLC and an award-winning blogger. More »
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