There's continuing disagreement inside and outside the scientific community about not only what scientists should say about climate change, but how they should be saying it. The communications literature states there is not one right approach, but a range of different approaches which may be suitable depending on the audience.
The climate blogosphere got in a tizzy in January about an advance copy of the text of a talk to be presented by Kevin Trenberth at the recent American Meteorological Society. The debate centered around Trenberth's idea that certainty about climate change is so great we should invert the common "Is this event caused by climate change?" line of questioning. As it states in the abstract, "Given that global warming is unequivocal, the null hypothesis should be that all weather events are affected by global warming".
All the talks from the "Communicating Climate Change" session (One and Two) at AMS were recorded and are now available for viewing online. Trenberth's talk and my own presentation "Making the climate a part of the human world" provide examples of two very different ways of thinking about communication of climate change (viewers be patient, the audio of my talk doesn't kick in for about 90 seconds). You might say the different methods of analysis - I take a deep historical perspective to explain the confusion of today - lead also to clear differences in what I can best describe as temperament. A simple breakdown would be that Trenberth goes on the offensive (i.e. prove me wrong) while I've been told my approach could almost goes on the defensive (i.e. let's be more humble, there's a good reason the science is hard to believe). Obviously, I'm partial to the latter, it is my research after all. I do accept that there may also be a time and a place for the former too.
Climate communication: Be aggressive or be humble?
Other Posts by Simon Donner
Dispatch from Kiribati: Can you "see" sea level rise? - May 2, 2012
Why I am opposed to Northern Gateway - February 6, 2012
Who to trust about climate change - February 2, 2012
Changing the tone of the Climate Change discourse - January 26, 2012
Adapting to Mild Winters - January 13, 2012
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Jim Baird said:
The world does need energy, it has been my contention for some time it should be produced in a manner that actuall would benefit the environment.
The recently published study by scientists from the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (an Environment Canada research lab at the University of Victoria) and the University of Calgary points out that even if we stopped putting CO2 into the atmosphere today, there will still be cataclysmic climate change.
Sea levels will continue to rise by about four meters because of the thermal inertia of the oceans. It will take a millennium to bring the atmosphere, the shallow waters and deeper ocean waters into thermal equilibrium on account of all of the energy already stored in the oceans.
The way to prevent the collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet, which would precipitate the level of sea level predicted by the study, is to convert excess ocean heat to carbon-free, sustainable, power with Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC).
Paul O said:
My take is that people who are overly aggressive are just noisy activists not all that different from any number of other noisy and intolerant groups out there.
I also view them as ineffectual and irrelevant. Screaming at me won't change my mind, and aggressive presentation won't change intranational policies anyway. Nations simply won't ignore their own economic realities because some activist is shouting at the top of his voice. In any case there is evidence that the kinds of changes advocated by Global Warming activists are impractical and in the end won't forestal anything.
The reality is that The world needs energy, and yelling at them won't chage that. Giving them viable energy options that won't cause massive suffering and economic disruption is the only way to go. This will take time and can only be accomplished through cooperation and firm but gentle persuasion.
Ed Reid said:
Communicate clearly and carefully. Avoid ad hominem, unlike Trenberth. Be candid about what you KNOW and what you BELIEVE to be true.
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