Wait, what? Didn’t Germany just decide to go nuclear-free by 2020 and missing production will be filled in with “clean” energy sources?

Yes! Correct, and now Ms Merkel is thinking of additionally (already did cut) cutting feed-in tariffs for solar, and importing solar electricity from Mediterranean.

According to Reuters

But I am not sure whether we shouldn’t be tackling this [cutting feed-in tariffs] even more.

Hm. Really? Wouldn’t that stifle the whole homegrown economy, R&D investment in solar and boost cheap Chines products?

Furthermore she [according Business Green] thinks ‘wind energy appeared to offer a more commercially effective form of low-carbon energy’.

Which is insane, as wind is probably the most unpredictable energy source we could install. Not that there is something wrong with it, but having it too much in the mix can crease serious problems and possible outages. We have already experienced “disappearing wind” which is boosting volatility of the electricity prices. Too much electricity together with strong winds can also bring network operators near collapse technically and financially (negative prices).

Germany’s Federal Network Agency (BNetzA) had prepared three scenarios for the energy development (source emeter.com), and solar beside wind makes and important role:

  • Scenario A. All of the German government’s priorities for climate and energy policy will be implemented. This scenario expects a moderate rise in coal-fired energy production.
  • Scenario B. In addition to Scenario A, this scenario expects a larger portion of renewable power, as well as more natural gas-fired energy production. This would make the system more flexible and reliable, due to a diversified mix of energy sources.
  • Scenario C. This is the least realistic scenario. It’s based upon a fictional assumption: that Germany will have explosive growth in renewable energy, nearly tripling such resources between 2010 and 2022. It also does not expect that Germany will continue to build new fossil fuel-fired power plants through 2022.

So could Merkel cut feed-in tariffs and still made a minimum of 34GW by 2020?

* on this graph something else than nuclear, solar or wind is important - the forecasting of energy consumption. Only one of the scenarios is foresting significant increase, meaning that Germany’s energy plan is also highly dependent on incentives and successful implementation of SmartGrid (network efficiency) and energy efficiency all over.