Broken Windows and Nuclear Plants
Authored by:
Meredith Angwin
Former project manager at Electric Power Research Institute. Chemist, writer, grandmother, and proponent of nuclear energy.Other Posts by Meredith Angwin
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Meredith Angwin says:
Thank you all for your comments.
The point of the broken window fallacy is that we can see what we get (the glazier getting paid) but we can't see what we don't get (the tailor being paid). At the end of the window-breaking incident, the window is fixed, but nothing else has been added to the town. Without the broken window, there would be an intact window in the town, and also a new suit for someone.
We can see this happening in my own town, right now. For once we can see what we aren't getting!
http://www.vnews.com/09072011/8023970.htm
The town has decided to cancel the Glory Days of the Railroad Festival Saturday, because there is too much clean-up to do. It is also canceling or postponing a bond offering to fix up the ice rink and the town hall (municipal building) because money will have to be spent on fixing up the roads. So after Irene, we will see people employed on the roads, but they will NOT be employed at the municipal building or ice rink. For once, what we don't get (with the broken window) is visible. We'll get our roads back, but the improvements to town properties won't be made, or will be put off for a long time.
Ww won't have a festival. We won't have a good ice rink. We won't have insulation in the municipal building. We will get the roads fixed, but we will be poorer (less fun, no improved town infrastructure) for Irene's broken windows
Willem Post says:
For many decades the Florida building industry resisted upgrading the building codes to make buildings more hurricane proof.
The reason was that the industry made money doing repairs multiple times per year; somewhat like icy roads causing fender benders being good for auto body repairs shops.
After the Hugo hurricane, which killed hundreds of people, the shoddiness of Florida housing construction owned by vulnerable people in vulnerable areas was revealed. Finally codes were made a little stricter.
For example: the building code was revised to require metal straps tying the roof trusses to the concrete slabs to prevent roofs from blowing off. Installed cost: about $200 dollars per roof.
Much of the flood damage in Vermont could have been avoided by proper planning and design.
It is unwise/uneconomical to have the damages occur first and make design changes after.
Rick Engebretson says:
Lovely metaphor, Meredith.
People of all stripes convince themselves destruction is development. We could all name several examples. One in my area of Minnesota is how we discovered a new wetland wildflower this holiday weekend. At the same time there was a "mud truck" festival near by. People invest thousands of dollars and great effort building massive trucks then haul them by trailer to tear up wetlands. Also, the local hospital airlifted some ATV riders to a metro ER.
Upside down world!
A guest says:
Doesn't the Netherlands rely on lots of windpower to keep their land from flooding... The broken window idea would be in favor of lots of planned obsolescence, as there would be no incentive to do any maintenance. By that theory only making or building something new, in addition, would be a stimulus. We don't need more and more. We actually could do with a lot less and be better off as individuals. Less debt, less stuff to deal with and more time for people, less an emphasis on things and more of an emphasis of caring for our fellow travelers. Repairing Vermont will definitely be a stimulus for all the construction workers in need of jobs. And if they spend their wages in Vermont, that will be a stimulus for Vermont. It will Not be a stimulus if workers from Jamaica are imported and they send all their wages back to their home country. It will not be a stimulus if the construction workers are paid less than a living wage and need to have food stamps in addition, while the CEO of the Humongous Construction Co takes his profits and winters in Switzerland and Bali.
Willem Post says:
Vermont's repairs will be mostly done with money borrowed from friends and banks, state funds consisting of taxes and/or borrowed, and federal funds consisting of taxes and/or borrowed.
As Meredith says: All repair does is get you back where you were before the water damage.
This is not quite true, because the funds are diverted from more productive uses.
Had strict codes been in place not allowing roads and buildings in flood plains, most of the destruction would not have occurred.
Rebuilding in flood plains is a waste of money that could be better spent on building away from flood plains and building water works, such as holding ponds with pumping stations, that would prevent flood damage.
In the Netherlands, about 50% of the land area with 65% of the population up to 20 feet below sea level, flooding is extremely rare because proper water works are in place to prevent it. It took much money and decades to build such water works.
Vermont has to start planning to do the same as the Netherlands.
Building wind turbine facilities on top of environmentally sensitive ridge lines where water runoff would be severely disturbed is a step in the wrong direction, especially when it has been shown by various studies based on real-time operations data that wind energy does not reduce CO2 emissions, despite PR claims by wind energy proponents.
http://www.clepair.net/IerlandUdo.html
http://docs.wind-watch.org/BENTEK-How-Less-Became-More.pdf
http://theenergycollective.com/willem-post/57905/wind-power-and-co2-emissions
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